Torpid wrote:Firstly note bold - now now, let's try and at least be somewhat subtle with our biases haha. I'm almost certain no tory politician gets into politics so they can make the rich richer and put down the poor further... If you follow any individual one through there lives (many of which are actually working class too) you should be able to see that. That's nearly as bad a conspiracy theory as Bush doing 911! The government isn't systematically out to get you. And Thatcher didn't close the mines because she wanted northern bastards to die.
I didn't say that. Don't get ahead of yourself: just because I'm passionate and I hate the Tories doesn't mean I think they intentionally want to fuck people over. I said they were going on an ideological rampage. To give an example of Tory tendencies I refer to: apply neoliberal concepts, allow the free market to become more free than ever i.e. deregulate everything, austerity up the arse, privatise everything. These have very similar results each time, culminating in the poor getting poorer and the rich getting richer.
Torpid wrote:But again, regardless of whether Trident is good or not the vast majority of people, I imagine (I dunno if there have been reliable recent polls on this, but just from anecdote and MP ballsyness I assume it is most) want trident to be renewed so to openly oppose it, especially when 60% of your MPs disagree with you as a leader doesn't look good and isn't going to get you votes - it doesn't matter whether he is right or not about the issue for this is democracy.
How is allowing an open vote on something like Trident undemocratic exactly? I would need to see evidence that the Labour membership want Trident to continue to be convinced that he should've asked the Party to vote unanimously in favour of Trident.
Torpid wrote:I don't disagree that she's disingenuous, yet I think she will to some extent compromise on her own personal beliefs to try and go through with a more populist government because primarily, it will ensure she gets elected next term, which really is the answer to the bold question. And secondly, perhaps optimistically of me to think, but, she thinks it is most important now for the culture of our country for there to be unity even if that means abandoning key policies she'd otherwise like. They smear JC because he goes against the status quo. Just like they smeared UKIP incessantly despite them and JC's labour being on the exact opposite side of the economic spectrum. I think they will continue to go against him forever until he gets lib-dem small, which he isn't, same with UKIP. The media are a nuisance, but so are the status quo in general.
So we're in agreement that the establishment/status quo want to suppress JC because he is a threat to their interests? Basically? And sure, I can appreciate that unity is a good idea right now, but it remains to be seen. We'll see what policies she presides over and what her voting record will say whilst PM, because that will give much more information than words coming out of her mouth.
Torpid wrote:Well, I wouldn't go as far to say debunked. This is not a gender wage gap based on discrimination haha.
http://ei.marketwatch.com//Multimedia/2 ... 15c588dfa6http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fan ... /ostry.htmEven the IMF which has been a fierce champion of neoliberalism in the past found in their own study that Austerity doesn't work.
http://www.theguardian.com/business/ng- ... y-delusionPaul Krugman who is a respected economist.
Torpid wrote:And for right or wrong the tories are seen as the guys who will get our economy fixed no matter what. And labour are too busy fiddling around with internal feuds, making cheap gags and acting like little children (quite akin to the red haired SJW sorts that proclaim such affinity with labour) with their protests and naivety. I'd say that's how a damn lot of people view labour. Yes, working class people and tat's why the tories get voted in. Osborne has only pushed that even further in his own regime. Honestly, he never shut up about 'balancing the budget' and that's just silly. It never has been that important. Man needs to calm down. But he didn't... And that was for a reason. It was to tarnish the sort of labour that is like JC. And I think it has. There is of course no definitive proof to this, but that's an issue common to a lot of parts of politics...
Yes, this definitely happens, but you know, to blame JC for their internal bickering making them look like a joke is not his fault. And as I say, I'm not a Labour voter, I'm not even a Corbyn supporter, but I can see when there's spin and there's misreporting of his views and the media are out to get him, they call him a communist for having pretty left of centre ideas. I mean case in point, when I was at school I was right of centre, at university pretty much dead on centre, and now I'm left leaning. I look at Corbyn's (real) policies and I agree with most of them. According to the hyped press that makes me a communist.
But this is what I'm saying. You and Swift claim to like socialist policies and want some of them enacted, but want someone electable to mediate that. But the problem is that you're always going to have trouble implementing them so long as the press makes that side of things sound radical and extreme. And although I feel like you're right that there's a growing right wing in this country, I also feel that (as with all difficult times) there's going to be a continuing surge on the left. That's just what happens, politics ceases to be stable centre and more and more disillusioned people try to find the answers on the fringes c.f. Weimar Republic. But I do fear that if the right wing press barons have their way, they can keep pushing the political discussion further and further right, until words like socialist becomes synonymous with commie, and, like in America, a dirty word.
So if we want there to be social change, we actually need to campaign and educate people. Like did you know that unions can only go on strike over pay and conditions? Even though the teachers in the NUS wanted to strike because of forced academisation, they could not strike over that, because it's a political point. Which is ridiculous. How then do we fight back against the Tories? Unions have systematically had their powers reduced over the decades, it's not like Labour re-empowered them during the Blair years. If we just accept our due and try to support an electable Blairite we're not going to get the change we want anyway. Schools will still get academised/privatised into terrible sponsor's hands. The NHS will alienate doctors whom we desperately need, meanwhile we're leaving the EU so that will reduce our access to many potential nurses and doctors. But again, this comes down to countering disinformation with information, and enlightening people to see past spin, check sources, question what they read. There's a reason that the first thing a repressive regime does is burn all the books. So if you do actually care about social change, get out there and make a difference. Don't think for a second that your armchair wisdom and pedantry is going to save the day.
And don't campaign for a Blairite who will not instigate any social change.
Indeed labour itself now has perhaps even a majority of its members who prefer the hardcore socialist labourites. The real labour to be in charge. However, that is not enough to win a general election. Labour need to take seats from the tories and from UKIP - regaining a few of their strongholds lost in the last GE will not be enough for a majority wing. My argument that 'people' want a blairite government is based on the fact that I think many current UKIP and tory voters would swing to labour if there was a more blairite appeal there. That's the crutch. It's gaining that outside of labour support right now that labour NEED. Because they don't have enough internally. I think society on the whole has gone a little more right wing these days... So labour and JC being socialist, real left wing... Not very electable. Besides, the real socialists love the EU and so long as they aren't old men who want the death penalty they're actually best off voting lib dems! They are equally socialist with their economic policy if not more, but obviously, more liberal with their social policy while alos being the only party that is indisputably 'remain' with regards to the EU... Lib-dems just did the best they ever done in council elections and while council elections don't often transfer to general ones, I think that's telling tbh.
Okay NOW we're getting to the core and the real meat of it. Still doesn't explain why your dad hates JC's guts so much, but whatever, I'll take it. Ok so what you're saying is not that the Labour membership want a Blairite, but the country would accept one. That seems fair. But again, you've been playing the Tory's game following Tory tunes for so long. Austerity wasn't challenged. Their referendum debacle wasn't challenged. The Blairites have seemed awfully quiet since the Tories came into power. And until they actually show up some of the Tory's failings the Tories will happily stay in power.
I mean for crying out loud Iain Duncan Smith passed some emergency legislation to get himself off the hook for his dodgy dealings whilst the Pensions minister. And the Labour shadow minister did nothing about it. I don't see how you can argue that getting rid of JC and instating a Blairite will suddenly mean a Labour win is possible. I think it's just as likely that people back JC, create an effective opposition, and actually challenge what the Tories are doing on a daily basis? Wouldn't that make Labour, as the ONLY OTHER MAJOR PARTY, more electable than the economically inept Tories who are ravaging our system with their ideological cuts?! Literally, leader aside. If people actually understood that austerity doesn't work, that the reason that Osborne had to keep extending austerity is because is suppresses growth rather than enables it, that the main part of the poorest people's problems was Tory policy and not immigrants or whatever, etc etc, that people wouldn't get so sick of Tory rule that they would vote for the opposition? I mean, how rich do you have to be to outright benefit from the economy contracting, public services slashed, infrastructure neglected, school places running out, hospitals overburdened, councils having to make do with an ever diminishing budget, etc, etc, etc... The 1%? The 0.5%?
It's all good and well saying that we need to swing XYZ voters, the left leaning Tory voters, and Kippers who are ultra disillusioned who are actually voting for an extreme right fringe party whereas the voters themselves probably self-identify as quite central. But this is founded upon the assumption that what we need is more of the same, suave, smooth talking, dressed up politician who can appeal to the masses as more attractive than Theresa May. Well, no, you can make the opponents look so bad that a lot of people flock to their opponents or indeed the other major party. Case in point, I think the Tories were very smart to use the ploy that a vote for Labour is actually a vote for the SNP, because Milliband refused to reject the possibility of a Labour-SNP coalition, and people were scared enough for having the SNP in coalition that many flocked away from voting Labour. Imagine what swing would occur if people understood the full extent of damage Tory policies are doing.
Finally, politics isn't exactly a zero sum game. People die and don't vote anymore, you have young people coming in to form the electorate, but most importantly you have a large proportion of the electorate who DON'T vote. If for some reason tomorrow every single potential voter who didn't vote at the previous GE voted Labour, they'd probably win. I mean, that's a third of the electorate that didn't show up on election day. So it's a bit disingenuous to present it as a zero sum game. If a party reinvigorated by JC is on the streets campaigning and recruiting, not every single vote to win a GE needs to be a vote taken off another party. But yes, you're largely right.
I think the point is the worse the situation gets, the less control the more central parties are going to have anyway. Might as well try to effect a change to the status quo before that happens. Look at the turnout for Brexit. It was incredible, especially during a period of purported voter malaise. I think times and changing, and political precedent may not be the most useful indicator of the future... keep your ear close to the ground,
Angela Eagle is a typical, non-innovative, dead end politician who has no charismatic appeal, copy/pasted views, that sucks clits and dicks in order to try and get some career progression. She's an opportunistic rat and I have no idea why labour permitted her to be the primary candidate standing against JC. I just do not get it. Fortunately she's now stood down from that race, but it just makes labour seem even more pathetic...
Yeah well, this was one of the finest that the PLP could muster. Really makes inspires you to think that there's a great alternative to vote for.
The same criticism applies when discussing his manner too. If his mannerism were gaining labour a unique subset of voters, fine, go for it. But I really do not think they are. At best they are just fervouring up some habitual labour voters to jeer even harder at the 'oh, look, it's Boris the buffoon again!' jokes...
Tell that to the Republicans and Trump. Trump isn't tapping into a unique subset of voters, he's just resonating with more of the same kind of voters, while alienating Blacks, Mexicans, Women, Muslims etc etc etc. And I think it would be hubris to say now that we should sit here thinking we're safe, there's no WAY he'll become President come November. Right?... Right? (Please reassure me that would make me so much happier)
Torpid wrote:Compared to everyone else's vigour in the debates and total one-sidedness he just come across as an indecisive fool. Again, for better or worse...
You cannot possibly tell me that JC offered a more convincing argument for remaining in the EU than the Eton-brigade of Cameron, Osbourne et al did.
Vigour can be replaced with spin at any point. I think of him as balanced, you see an indecisive fool. Different viewpoints huh. And he didn't offer a more convincing argument, he provided a pros and cons approach to the debate like a rational human being. Unlike Cameron+ Osborne who screamed that we were all gonna suffer and that the economy was going to fail and austerity would go on forever and nooooooooooo
Guess what. Telling people who feel like they've been left behind by the establishment that we were all gonna suffer and the economy was gonna die is not convincing. a) You're telling them you know better, which insults them when they are feeling the pain every day. b) You strip away credibility from the countless experts who actually weighed in on the subject, who unfortunately for them get lumped in with the fearmongering politicians. c) If they've already been left behind by the establishment, they feel like they have nothing to lose, and they want to hurt the establishment and give it a massive fuck you, even if it's just taking a stand. d) Some of them actually believe that getting out of the EU will improve their lives because no more immigrants competing for their jobs, taking their benefits, pushing back against the endless globalisation, even if only temporarily. If people feel like this, the last thing they want is for some snotty nosed bastards to talk down to them and tell them they know better. The last thing they want is to feel patronised.
So yeah, I do think that the tack that Cameron and Osborne et al took was disastrous. They assumed that with the weight of fear mongering and experts and foreign contingents would be enough, and that Leave would never have enough time to gather a head of steam to overtake Remain. That was foolish and resulted from hubris. In fact, the short campaign probably played into the hands of the Leave campaign more, since all their arguments basically boiled down to: Simple problem, simple solution. With no plan on how to make any of this happen. In the end, in my mind it's clear that JC had much less to do with the Leave result, and it was pretty much Tories through and through. Of course he could've been more passionate and campaign solely for Remain but as I said that would involve getting on the Tribalism bandwagon.
P.S, It's a good thing I have a good relation with my boss, I've literally gotten away with spending 3 hours today writing these posts. Admittedly the first post was on a severely delayed train on the way to work, but still...